-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 1
/
Copy pathreferences.bib
235 lines (213 loc) · 17.3 KB
/
references.bib
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
@article{wuFewer15Coal2024,
title = {Fewer than 15\% of Coal Power Plant Workers in {{China}} Can Easily Shift to Green Jobs by 2060},
author = {Wu, Huihuang and Liu, Junfeng and Hu, Xiurong and He, Gang and Zhou, Yuhan and Wang, Xian and Liu, Ying and Ma, Jianmin and Tao, Shu},
date = {2024-11-06},
journaltitle = {One Earth},
shortjournal = {One Earth},
issn = {2590-3322},
doi = {10.1016/j.oneear.2024.10.006},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259033222400530X},
urldate = {2024-11-06},
abstract = {Phasing out coal is essential for climate mitigation but can result in job losses. Although growing literature has reported green job opportunities (e.g., solar technicians) as a potential solution to the displacement of coal sector workers, the extent to which green jobs are easily accessible, regarding co-location and skill requirements, remains unclear. Here, we explore this issue in the context of China’s coal phaseout toward the 2060 carbon neutrality target. Using a coal power plant retirement model of 3,765 coal power units, we find that coal power plant workers must travel long distances (178–242~km) to reach a green job site. When further considering job skill qualifications, in total, fewer than 15\% of these workers can easily access green jobs. Postponing the coal phaseout might further exacerbate the job transition challenge. Upstream industries of the renewable energy sector (e.g., electrical machinery), which can be located closer to coal power plants and have better job skill matching, can help alleviate the challenging prospect.},
keywords = {coal power plant workers,green transition,just transition,spatiotemporal analysis}
}
@article{heSWITCHChinaSystemsApproach2016,
title = {{SWITCH}-{China}: {A} {Systems} {Approach} to {Decarbonizing} {China}’s {Power} {System}},
volume = {50},
copyright = {All rights reserved},
issn = {0013-936X},
shorttitle = {{SWITCH}-{China}},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.6b01345},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.6b01345},
abstract = {We present an integrated model, SWITCH-China, of the Chinese power sector with which to analyze the economic and technological implications of a medium to long-term decarbonization scenario while accounting for very-short-term renewable variability. On the basis of the model and assumptions used, we find that the announced 2030 carbon peak can be achieved with a carbon price of ∼\$40/tCO2. Current trends in renewable energy price reductions alone are insufficient to replace coal; however, an 80\% carbon emission reduction by 2050 is achievable in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Target Scenario with an optimal electricity mix in 2050 including nuclear (14\%), wind (23\%), solar (27\%), hydro (6\%), gas (1\%), coal (3\%), and carbon capture and sequestration coal energy (26\%). The co-benefits of carbon-price strategy would offset 22\% to 42\% of the increased electricity costs if the true cost of coal and the social cost of carbon are incorporated. In such a scenario, aggressive attention to research and both technological and financial innovation mechanisms are crucial to enabling the transition at a reasonable cost, along with strong carbon policies.},
number = {11},
urldate = {2016-06-07},
journal = {Environmental Science \& Technology},
author = {He, Gang and Avrin, Anne-Perrine and Nelson, James H. and Johnston, Josiah and Mileva, Ana and Tian, Jianwei and Kammen, Daniel M.},
month = jun,
year = {2016},
pages = {5467--5473},
}
@article{zhangLongtermTransitionChina2021,
title = {Long-term transition of {China}'s power sector under carbon neutrality target and water withdrawal constraint},
volume = {329},
issn = {0959-6526},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095965262103941X},
doi = {10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.129765},
abstract = {Deep carbon mitigation and water resources conservation are two interacted environmental challenges that China's power sector is facing. We investigate long-term transition pathways (2020–2050) of China's power sector under carbon neutrality target and water withdrawal constraint using an integrated capacity expansion and dispatch model: SWITCH-China. We find that achieving carbon neutrality before 2060 under moderate cost decline of renewables by 10–20\% depends heavily on large scale deployment of coal-fired power generation with carbon capture and storage (CCS) since 2035 in China's water-deficient northwestern regions, which may incur significant water penalties in arid catchments. Introducing water withdrawal constraints at the secondary river basin level can reduce the reliance on coal-CCS power generation to achieve carbon neutrality, promote the application of air-cooling technology, and reallocate newly built coal power capacities from northwestern regions to northeastern and southern regions. If levelized cost of renewables can decline rapidly by about 70\%, demand for coal power generation with CCS will be significantly reduced by more than 80\% and solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind could account for about 70\% of the national total power generation by 2050. The transition pathway under low-cost renewables also creates water conservation co-benefits of around 10 billion m3 annually compared to the reference scenario.},
language = {en},
urldate = {2021-11-25},
journal = {Journal of Cleaner Production},
author = {Zhang, Chao and He, Gang and Johnston, Josiah and Zhong, Lijin},
month = dec,
year = {2021},
keywords = {Power sector, Water conservation, Carbon neutrality, Electricity-water nexus, SWITCH-China},
pages = {129765},
}
@article{linLargeBalancingAreas2022,
title = {Large balancing areas and dispersed renewable investment enhance grid flexibility in a renewable-dominant power system in {China}},
volume = {25},
issn = {2589-0042},
url = {https://www.cell.com/iscience/abstract/S2589-0042(22)00019-0},
doi = {10.1016/j.isci.2022.103749},
language = {English},
number = {2},
urldate = {2022-02-02},
journal = {iScience},
author = {Lin, Jiang and Abhyankar, Nikit and He, Gang and Liu, Xu and Yin, Shengfei},
month = feb,
year = {2022},
note = {Publisher: Elsevier},
keywords = {Energy policy, Power structure},
pages = {103749},
}
@article{pengHeterogeneousEffectsBattery2023,
title = {Heterogeneous effects of battery storage deployment strategies on decarbonization of provincial power systems in {China}},
volume = {14},
copyright = {2023 Springer Nature Limited},
issn = {2041-1723},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-40337-3},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-023-40337-3},
abstract = {Battery storage is critical for integrating variable renewable generation, yet how the location, scale, and timing of storage deployment affect system costs and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is uncertain. We improve a power system model, SWITCH-China, to examine three nationally uniform battery deployment strategies (Renewable-connected, Grid-connected, and Demand-side) and a heterogeneous battery deployment strategy where each province is allowed to utilize any of the three battery strategies. Here, we find that the heterogeneous strategy always provides the lowest system costs among all four strategies, where provinces with abundant renewable resources dominantly adopt Renewable-connected batteries while those with limited renewables dominantly adopt Demand-side batteries. However, which strategy achieves the lowest CO2 emissions depends on carbon prices. The Renewable-connected strategy achieves the lowest CO2 emissions when carbon prices are relatively low, and the heterogeneous strategy results in the lowest CO2 emissions only at extremely high carbon prices.},
language = {en},
number = {1},
urldate = {2023-08-11},
journal = {Nature Communications},
author = {Peng, Liqun and Mauzerall, Denise L. and Zhong, Yaofeng D. and He, Gang},
month = aug,
year = {2023},
note = {Number: 1
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group},
keywords = {Climate sciences, Environmental sciences},
pages = {4858},
}
@article{luoAcceleratingChinaPower2023,
title = {Accelerating {China}’s power sector decarbonization can save lives: integrating public health goals into power sector planning decisions},
volume = {18},
issn = {1748-9326},
shorttitle = {Accelerating {China}’s power sector decarbonization can save lives},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acf84b},
doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/acf84b},
abstract = {China, the world’s largest greenhouse gas emitter in 2022, aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. The power sector will play a major role in this decarbonization process due to its current reliance on coal. Prior studies have quantified air quality co-benefits from decarbonization or investigated pathways to eliminate greenhouse gas emissions from the power sector. However, few have jointly assessed the potential impacts of accelerating decarbonization on electric power systems and public health. Additionally, most analyses have treated air quality improvements as co-benefits of decarbonization, rather than a target during decarbonization. Here, we explore future energy technology pathways in China under accelerated decarbonization scenarios with a power system planning model that integrates carbon, pollutant, and health impacts. We integrate the health effects of power plant emissions into the power system decision-making process, quantifying the public health impacts of decarbonization under each scenario. We find that compared with a reference decarbonization pathway, a stricter cap (20\% lower emissions than the reference pathway in each period) on carbon emissions would yield significant co-benefits to public health, leading to a 22\% reduction in power sector health impacts. Although extra capital investment is required to achieve this low emission target, the value of climate and health benefits would exceed the additional costs, leading to \$824 billion net benefits from 2021 to 2050. Another accelerated decarbonization pathway that achieves zero emissions five years earlier than the reference case would result in lower net benefits due to higher capital costs during earlier decarbonization periods. Treating air pollution impacts as a target in decarbonization can further mitigate both CO2 emissions and negative health effects. Alternative low-cost solutions also show that small variations in system costs can result in significantly different future energy portfolios, suggesting that diverse decarbonization pathways are viable.},
language = {en},
number = {10},
urldate = {2023-09-25},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
author = {Luo, Qian and Garcia-Menendez, Fernando and Lin, Jiang and He, Gang and Johnson, Jeremiah X.},
month = sep,
year = {2023},
note = {Publisher: IOP Publishing},
pages = {104023},
}
@article{yangRegionalDisparitiesHealth2024,
title = {Regional disparities in health and employment outcomes of {China}’s transition to a low-carbon electricity system},
volume = {1},
issn = {2753-3751},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/ad3bb8},
doi = {10.1088/2753-3751/ad3bb8},
abstract = {Understanding the costs and the spatial distribution of health and employment outcomes of low-carbon electricity pathways is critical to enable an equitable transition. We integrate an electricity system planning model (GridPath), a health impact model (InMAP), and a multiregional input–output model to quantify China’s provincial-level impacts of electricity system decarbonization on costs, health outcomes, employment, and labor compensation. We find that even without specific CO2 constraints, declining renewable energy and storage costs enable a 26\% decline in CO2 emissions in 2040 compared to 2020 under the Reference scenario. Compared to the Reference scenario, pursuing 2 °C and 1.5 °C compatible carbon emission targets (85\% and 99\% decrease in 2040 CO2 emissions relative to 2020 levels, respectively) reduces air pollution-related premature deaths from electricity generation over 2020–2040 by 51\% and 63\%, but substantially increases annual average costs per unit of electricity demand in 2040 (21\% and 39\%, respectively). While the 2 °C pathway leads to a 3\% increase in electricity sector-related net labor compensation, the 1.5 °C pathway results in a 19\% increase in labor compensation driven by greater renewable energy deployment. Although disparities in health impacts across provinces narrow as fossil fuels phase out, disparities in labor compensation widen with wealthier East Coast provinces gaining the most in labor compensation because of materials and equipment manufacturing, and offshore wind deployment.},
language = {en},
number = {2},
urldate = {2024-04-24},
journal = {Environmental Research: Energy},
author = {Yang, Haozhe and Luo, Qian and He, Gang and Lin, Jiang and Johnson, Jeremiah and Garcia-Menendez, Fernando and Deschenes, Olivier and Mileva, Ana and Deshmukh, Ranjit},
month = apr,
year = {2024},
note = {Publisher: IOP Publishing},
pages = {025001},
}
@article{chen2023deploying,
author = {Chen, Shi and Lu, Xi and P. Nielsen, Chris and B. McElroy,
Michael and He, Gang and Zhang, Shaohui and He, Kebin and Yang, Xiu
and Zhang, Fang and Hao, Jimin},
title = {Deploying Solar Photovoltaic Energy First in Carbon-Intensive
Regions Brings Gigatons More Carbon Mitigations to 2060},
journal = {Communications Earth \& Environment},
volume = {4},
pages = {369},
date = {2023-10-11},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-023-01006-x},
doi = {10.1038/s43247-023-01006-x},
langid = {en}
}
@article{helveston_he_davidson_2022,
title = {Quantifying the cost savings of global solar photovoltaic supply chains},
doi = {10.1038/s41586-022-05316-6},
journaltitle = {Nature},
author = {Helveston, John and He, Gang and Davidson, Michael},
date = {2022},
volume = {612},
number = {7938},
pages = {83-87}
}
@article{He2017efa,
title = {Experiences and lessons from China{'}s success in providing electricity for all},
journal = {Resources, Conservation and Recycling},
year = {2017},
volume = {122},
pages = {335-338},
author = {He, G. and Victor, D.G.},
doi = {10.1016/j.resconrec.2017.03.011}
}
@article{he_rapid_2020,
title = {Rapid cost decrease of renewables and storage accelerates the decarbonization of China’s power system},
volume = {11},
rights = {2020 The Author(s)},
issn = {2041-1723},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-16184-x},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-020-16184-x},
abstract = {The costs for solar photovoltaics, wind, and battery storage have dropped markedly since 2010, however, many recent studies and reports around the world have not adequately captured such dramatic decrease. Those costs are projected to decline further in the near future, bringing new prospects for the widespread penetration of renewables and extensive power-sector decarbonization that previous policy discussions did not fully consider. Here we show if cost trends for renewables continue, 62\% of China’s electricity could come from non-fossil sources by 2030 at a cost that is 11\% lower than achieved through a business-as-usual approach. Further, China’s power sector could cut half of its 2015 carbon emissions at a cost about 6\% lower compared to business-as-usual conditions.},
pages = {2486},
number = {1},
journaltitle = {Nature Communications},
author = {He, Gang and Lin, Jiang and Sifuentes, Froylan and Liu, Xu and Abhyankar, Nikit and Phadke, Amol},
urldate = {2020-07-24},
date = {2020-05-19},
langid = {english}
}
@article{davidson2022risks,
title={Risks of decoupling from China on low-carbon technologies},
author={Davidson, Michael R and Karplus, Valerie J and Lewis, Joanna I and Nahm, Jonas and Wang, Alex},
journal={Science},
volume={377},
number={6612},
pages={1266--1269},
year={2022},
publisher={American Association for the Advancement of Science},
doi= {10.1126/science.abq5446}
}
@article{helveston2019china,
title={China's key role in scaling low-carbon energy technologies},
author={Helveston, John and Nahm, Jonas},
journal={Science},
volume={366},
number={6467},
pages={794--796},
year={2019},
publisher={American Association for the Advancement of Science},
doi={10.1126/science.aaz1014}
}
@techreport{asia_society_common_2009,
title = {Common {Challenge}, {Collaborative} {Response}: {A} {Roadmap} for {U}.{S}.-{China} {Cooperation} on {Energy} and {Climate} {Change}},
url = {https://asiasociety.org/center-us-china-relations/common-challenge-collaborative-response-roadmap-us-china-cooperation},
institution = {Asia Society, Center for Climate and Energy Solutions},
author = {{Asia Society} and {C2ES}},
month = feb,
year = {2009},
}
@techreport{asia_society_roadmap_2009,
title = {A {Roadmap} for {U}.{S}.-{China} {Collaboration} on {Carbon} {Capture} and {Sequestration}},
url = {https://asiasociety.org/center-us-china-relations/roadmap-us-china-collaboration-carbon-capture-and-sequestration},
institution = {Asia Society, Center for American Progress, Monitor},
author = {{Asia Society}},
month = nov,
year = {2009},
}
@techreport{asia_society_vital_2014,
title = {A {Vital} {Partnership}: {California} and {China} {Collaborating} on {Clean} {Energy} and {Combating} {Climate} {Change}},
url = {https://asiasociety.org/center-us-china-relations/vital-partnership-california-and-china-collaborating-clean-energy-and-comb},
institution = {Asia Society},
author = {{Asia Society}},
month = mar,
year = {2014},
}