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Investigating uncertainty in the minimum mortality temperature

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Investigating uncertainty in the minimum mortality temperature


A methodology to identify the minimum of an exposure-response relationship estimated from a regression model, and to quantify the related uncertainty through empirical standard errors and confidence intervals. The method is demonstrated in the following article that illustrates an application for investigating the minimum mortality temperature (MMT) in a set of cities in Spain:

Tobias A, Armstrong B, Gasparrini A. Investigating uncertainty in the minimum mortality temperature: methods and application to 52 Spanish cities. Epidemiology. 2017;28(1):72-76. [freely available here]

Note that the code includes an example replicating the analysis using data for London, as the original multi-city dataset cannot be made publicly available.


The material:

  • london.csv stores the dataset used in the illustrative example
  • findmin.R is the R function computing the MMT and related uncertainty
  • example.R is the R code illustrating an example
  • sim.R is R code reproducing the results of the simulation study

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